Tornado on the ground in Mississippi County

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Tornado Watch For Central and Northeast Arkansas and also Southern Missouri In Effect till 8PM . Flash Flood Watch in effect through Saturday Night, Wind Advisory Till 10 Saturday. 20-40 MPH Gusts.

84 Hr. NAM Precipitation Outlook

It Will Be Rainy For Sure.. Severe Threats Are Not For Sure And Not Determined Yet...More On That Later... The Image Shows The Rain Amounts For The Area Saturday.

Next 7 days not looking good

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Paragould&state=AR&site=MEG&textField1=36.0561&textField2=-90.5135

Saturday Into Sunday... Not Looking Good Guys!

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 210848
SPC AC 210848

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CDT WED APR 21 2010

VALID 241200Z - 291200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHIFT A LARGE UPPER SYSTEM EWD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN U.S. WITH TIME...WITH A GRADUAL
WEAKENING/DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM PROGGED. AS THE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO OPEN/WEAKEN -- PARTICULARLY FROM DAY 5 /SUN. APR. 25/
ONWARD...MODEL AGREEMENT SLOWLY DECREASES AS WELL. WHILE ENHANCED
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY SPREAD ACROSS THE SERN U.S. UNTIL THE
MAIN SURFACE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE ON OR AROUND DAY 7 /TUE. APR.
27/...CONFIDENCE WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND LOCATION DECREASES
STEADILY INTO THE PERIOD.

ATTM...WILL MAINTAIN AN OUTLOOK AREA CENTERED INVOF THE MID AND
LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS DAY 4 /SAT. APR. 24/...AS A STRONGER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE MAIN
UPPER LOW IS PROGGED TO SHIFT ACROSS THIS REGION. WITH STRONG
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD AND MOIST/LIKELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT...WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LIKELY.

AGAIN -- WHILE AT LEAST SOME SEVERE THREAT SHOULD SHIFT STEADILY EWD
WITH TIME DAYS 5-6-7...MODEL DIFFERENCES PRECLUDE HIGHLIGHTING
SPECIFIC THREAT AREAS BEYOND DAY 4.

..GOSS.. 04/21/2010

Friday/Saturday Outlook

Late Friday night into Saturday we could be dealing with some SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, The main threats will be high damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain, and if the system his just right we could be looking at a tornado outbreak. It's all going to depend on the timing and stability of the air at the time the system hits. It is a system that will have to be watched VERY closely. Timing, Stability, and Tornado Threat will all be hard to call. Stay tuned for updated information later into the week before the system gets here.